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Tuesday, December 5, 2006

Mighty Hunters, but Lousy Mothers

The New York Times

Neanderthal Women Joined Men in the Hunt
By NICHOLAS WADE
December 5, 2006
A new explanation for the demise of the Neanderthals, the stockily built human species that
occupied Europe until the arrival of modern humans 45,000 years ago, has been proposed by
two anthropologists at the University of Arizona.

Unlike modern humans, who had developed a versatile division of labor between men and
women, the entire Neanderthal population seems to have been engaged in a single main
occupation, the hunting of large game, the scientists, Steven L. Kuhn and Mary C. Stiner, say in
an article posted online yesterday in Current Anthropology.

Because modern humans exploited the environment more efficiently, by having men hunt large
game and women gather small game and plant foods, their populations would have outgrown
those of the Neanderthals.

The Neanderthals endured for about 100,000 years, despite a punishing way of life. They
preyed on the large animals that flourished in Europe in the ice age like bison, deer, gazelles
and wild horses. But there is no evidence that they knew of bows and arrows. Instead, they
used stone-tipped spears.

Hunting large game at close range is perilous, and Neanderthal skeletons bear copious
fractures. Dr. Kuhn and Dr. Stiner argue that Neanderthal women and children took part in the
dangerous hunts, probably as beaters and blockers of exit routes.

Their argument, necessarily indirect, begins with the human hunter-gatherer societies, almost
all of which have a division of labor between the sexes.

At sites occupied by modern humans from 45,000 to 10,000 years ago, a period known as the
Upper Paleolithic, there is good evidence of different occupations, from small animal and bird
remains, as well as the bone awls and needles used to make clothes. It seems reasonable to
assume that these activities were divided between men and women, as is the case with modern
foraging peoples.

But Neanderthal sites include no bone needles, no small animal remains and no grinding
stones for preparing plant foods. So what did Neanderthal women do all day?

Their skeletons are so robustly built that it seems improbable that they just sat at home looking
after the children, the anthropologists write. More likely, they did the same as the men, with
the whole population engaged in bringing down large game.

The meat of large animals yields a rich payoff, but even the best hunters have unlucky days.
The modern humans of the Upper Paleolithic, with their division of labor and diversified food
sources, would have been better able to secure a continuous food supply. Nor were they putting
their reproductive core — women and children — at great risk.

David Pilbeam, a paleoanthropologist at Harvard, said the Arizona researchers’ article was
“very stimulating and thoughtful” and seemed to be the first to propose a mechanism for why
Neanderthal populations declined.

Dr. Stiner said the division of labor between the sexes was likely to have arisen in a tropical
environment. Indeed, it may have provided the demographic impetus for modern humans to
expand out of Africa, she said.

A rival hypothesis proposed by Richard Klein of Stanford University holds that some cognitive
advance like the perfection of language underlay the burst of innovative behavior shown by
Upper Paleolithic people and their predecessors in Africa.

Why did the Neanderthals fail to adapt when modern humans arrived on their doorstep?
Under Dr. Klein’s hypothesis, the reason is simply that they were cognitively less advanced.
Dr. Stiner said that in her view there was not time for them to change their culture. “Although
there may have been differences in neurological wiring,” she said, “I think another very
important key is the legacy of cultural institutions about social roles.” Is there a genetic basis to
the division of labor that emerged in the modern human lineage? “It’s equally compelling to
argue that most or all of this has a cultural basis,” Dr. Stiner said. “That’s where it’s very
difficult for people like us and Richard Klein to resolve the basis of our disagreement.”

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Land for Peace?


Land for War
by

Abraham Berkowitz, John Bradford, and Tom Milstein
7/19/2006


“Land for Peace” is now acknowledged by everyone to have failed. This failure should
have been recognized long ago, but hope triumphed again and again over reality and
“the dream” persisted in clouding the consciousness of the Israeli people.
Israel has her definitive Arab-Islamic answer to “Land for Peace”: war, war to the
uttermost, not just against the Hovels of the Settlers on the West Bank (demonized as
the source of all Israel’s problems), but even against the Palace of Israel itself, “Green
Line” Israel, Israel inside its “proper borders.”

“Land for Peace” used to be Israel’s grand strategy. It has failed. It is time to try “Land
for War.” The “Land for War” strategy is predicated on the failure of its predecessor. If
the Arabs will not make peace with Israel in return for the ceding of land conquered in
1967 and the founding of a Palestinian state on that land, it is time for Israel to turn the
tables and adopt the opposite approach: instead of giving up land in return for (the hope
of) peace, Israel should announce a schedule of annexations of the land formerly slated
for withdrawal. This schedule should be shaped by the continuation of the terrorist War
on Israel. Step one – in response to the attacks already carried out– should be the
immediate annexation by the State of Israel of the territory lying between Jerusalem and
Ma'aleh Adumim. This annexation should be declared irrevocable. The schedule should
then lay out further steps and stages of irreversible annexation of territories conquered
in the Six-Day War, each in response to terrorist attacks against Israel, in whatever form
they take and wherever they occur. If the terrorism does not stop, Israel should commit
to continued implementation of the schedule until nothing is left to annex.

What the “Land for War” strategy does is to effectively put the terrorists in charge of the
Israel’s annexation program. It says to them, “Every time you attack Israel, you enlarge
the Jewish State, and you correspondingly diminish the Arab patrimony. It’s your
decision.”

This strategy will throw the Arab world into crisis, because while the Islamic extremists
of Hamas and Hizbollah don’t give a fig for the cause of Arab nationalism, the Middle
Eastern states which nurture and appease them do. Therefore “Land for War” will drive
a wedge between Arab nationalism and Islamic extremism. It will put the Islamists in
the role of gravediggers of the Palestinian state. It forces them to argue openly for the
supremacy of Islam over nationality. This is the great socio-political chasm of the Middle
East. A strategy which exploits this chasm is a strategy for victory rather than stalemate
and confusion.

Israel is bravely responding, as any self-respecting nation would, to the acts of
aggression perpetrated against her. But mere war, past a certain point, will only
perpetuate Israel’s no-win strategy. The time for a resolution of the Israel-Arab conflict
is at hand. Given the total failure of “Land for Peace” as a strategy, the necessary
political dimension of this war can only be supplied by “Land for War.” Neither the
Middle Eastern states nor the terrorist organizations which they harbor care about the
pain and suffering which Israel’ s military measures will inflict. In fact, these measures
by themselves have the effect of uniting nationalists and Islamic terrorists in a common
cause against the Jews. But the unfolding spectacle of Israeli annexation of Judea and
Samaria, step by inexorable and irreversible step, at a pace and to an extent dictated by
the terrorists themselves – that will have the opposite effect. It will devastate the anti-
Israel consensus in the Middle East and place the blame for Israel’s territorial
aggrandizement squarely on her supposed arch-enemies.

“Land for War” speaks to the Arabs in a language they understand: the language of lost
territory, the real and just price for starting and losing a war.

Abraham Berkowitz holds a Ph.D. from Columbia University in Political Science. He will be making
aliyah in August of this year.
John Bradford is an artist and teacher.
Tom Milstein is an Executive Director of a property management firm.
All currently reside in New York City.

Thursday, June 8, 2006

Gedankenexperiment

Thought Experiment

By Tom A. Milstein

June 8, 2006

Einstein made fruitful use of a creative technique called the “thought experiment” (Gedankenexperiment),
by which he meant a purely intellectual experiment in physical science, impractical
to carry out empirically, but bound by logic and constrained by the rule that it not violate any
fundamental physical laws.

Let us carry out the following “thought experiment”:

Something happens to flood the world with large quantities of new oil. That “something” might
be, for example, the discovery of large oil fields in politically benign areas, or a new technology
permitting oil to be brought up from areas previously thought inaccessible. Neither of these two
possibilities is excluded by the laws of geology or engineering. Since we are conducting a
thought experiment, a “what-if” chain of reasoning, we are entitled to consider either as our
starting assumption, however unlikely in practice.

What scenario logically unfolds from such a development?

Today oil sells at about $70 per barrel. Whatever factors have determined this price, the injection
of large quantities of new supply into the world market would obviously imperil the existing
price structure. If the supply bulge were large enough, the price would plummet. How low it
might fall is a matter of conjecture. But if the example of other economic raw materials offers
any guide, oil would probably sell at its true cost of production, plus a reasonable profit – perhaps
about a dollar a barrel.

So the first consequence of our thought experiment is that the economic interest represented by
the difference between oil selling at $70 per barrel, and oil selling at around $1 per barrel, would
be adversely affected. How big an interest are we talking about? The word “cosmic” comes to
mind. After all, oil is the key commodity in the modern world. Virtually nothing can be produced
without it. It is truly the prerequisite, the sine qua non, of all the world’s business. Ipso
facto,
bathing the world economy in virtually limitless cheap oil would thus have a revolutionary
impact on the structure of that economy. Not only would the interest represented by oil at $70
per barrel be disrupted, but new interests founded on the much lower cost of producing goods
would move to the foreground. Like all newly-empowered economic interests, they would carry
with them new political, cultural and technological values, more rooted in entrepreneurialism,
technological innovation, and the deployment rather than the amassing of capital. The historic
balance between banking capital and production capital would tilt in the latter’s favor.

But wait! We have left an important and inevitable element out of our thought experiment scenario.
It is not reasonable to suppose that an interest whose power and influence we have not
shrunk from calling “cosmic” would gracefully bow out of the political struggle and exit stage
right from the theater of economic history. On the contrary, we ought to expect a serious effort
to appeal the verdict of the market and reverse the laws of supply and demand. Such an effort
would be consistent with Newton’s third law: for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction.
This reaction would constitute the second consequence of our thought experiment: the
effort by the enormous economic, political and cultural Establishment represented by oil at $70
a barrel to preserve its power and influence notwithstanding the collapse of its key asset’s price
(upon which our thought experiment is predicated).

Since we have excluded a priori by the terms of our thought experiment the possibility of maintaining
or restoring an elevated price of oil, what we need to consider – from the standpoint of
its former beneficiaries – are ways and means of preserving its effects even after its cause has
been (hypothetically) removed. For it is upon these effects – not the price of oil itself – that the
above-mentioned Establishment bases itself.

A vast increase in the supply of oil would exert a massively depressing effect on its price. This
price has obviously been a hugely limiting factor on the consumption of oil, and therefore a
hugely escalating factor on the cost of things produced with oil. The price of oil has created a
regime of scarcity around the world’s most important single commodity. But abundant oil
would destroy this regime of scarcity and overturn high-priced oil’s applecart. Could a regime of
scarcity be reimposed based on some other criteria than price? In other words, could scarcity,
having been overthrown at the supply end of the economic curve, be reinstituted at the demand
end, where oil is consumed? If so, a lot of applecart passengers would be mighty grateful.
Global Warming! Al Gore is only the most prominent of the many Cassandras who have recently
arisen to warn us that all respectable scientific opinion now agrees that we are destroying
our planet with our uncontrolled emissions of petroleum combustion byproducts. For these
folks abundant cheap oil would not be a blessing, but the apocalypse, leading to new ice ages,
oceanic inundations, famine, pestilence, giant hurricanes, together with, no doubt, epidemics of
baldness, impotence, and date rape.

Global Warming, about which all scientists now unanimously agree (except for some miscreants
who don’t), provides the perfect rationale for instituting an artificial regime of scarcity to replace
the economic regime imposed by high prices and short supplies. Not the economy, but Mother
Nature herself, so help us Wicca, demands that limits be imposed on oil consumption, in order
to save Gaia, our violated planet. How very convenient for Nature to come to the rescue of the
$70 a barrel crowd also! Once before She performed this service, through the pious auspices of
the good Rev. Thomas Malthus: 

The power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce
subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the
human race. The vices of mankind are active and able ministers of depopulation. They
are the precursors in the great army of destruction; and often finish the dreadful work
themselves. But should they fail in this war of extermination, sickly seasons, epidemics,
pestilence, and plague, advance in terrific array, and sweep off their thousands and
tens of thousands. Should success be still incomplete, gigantic inevitable famine stalks
in the rear, and with one mighty blow levels the population with the food of the world.

-- An Essay on the Principle of Population, 1789.

For Malthus, scarcity was dictated by the his iron law of population, which he insisted would
always increase geometrically, outstripping food supplies, which could only increase arithmetically.
Malthus proposed his ideas just as the English landed aristocracy was becoming aware of
the threat which the new industrial system of manufactures posed to its ascendancy. His pessimistic
and anti-human doctrine of food scarcity helped create the political atmosphere which
resulted in the passage of Britain’s Corn Laws, high tariffs on imported wheat and other foodstuffs
whose purpose was to subsidize the country’s inefficient feudal estates and thus artificially
perpetuate the Tory aristocracy’s corrupt dominion over England against the modernizing challenge
posed by the Manchester industrialists.

Today it is not food but energy which is alleged to be scarce. Whether it actually is or not is beyond
the scope of our thought experiment. But it is certainly heartening to know that the same
doctrine of scarcity which preserved the English aristocracy can be trotted out in the 21st century,
suitably regarbed in the trendy couture of ecology, to perform an equivalent function for
our own $70 a barrel aristocracy in the disastrous wake of an (hypothetical) oil price collapse.
The dogma of Global Warming is thus the third consequence of our thought experiment. It
stands ready to rationalize the imposition of Energy Consumption Controls, no matter what the
price of energy production, in the name of saving the planet from mankind’s swinish overconsumption.
Such controls would no doubt take the form of huge new taxes on energy consumption,
thereby creating a massive cash flow into the world’s various environmental protection
agencies, governmental and private. So aggrandized, these high-minded bureaucracies will acquire
the clout to perpetuate an artificial regime of scarcity forever – or at least for a long time –
even if technology and capitalism combine to discredit the doctrine of scarce energy supplies.
This brave new form of socialism, based on the expropriation and redistribution of scarcity,
should inscribe on its banner, “Arise, ye prisoners of abundance. You have been all, you shall be
naught!”

But our little thought experiment has produced a very peculiar result: whereas a crash in oil
prices is purely hypothetical, Global Warming is with us now. Nothing hypothetical about it.
Thanks to Al Gore, we even have that ultimate 21st century validation of its really real reality, a
movie – named, with 66% mendacity, An Inconvenient (sic) Truth (sic). What are we to make of
this strange emergence of a causeless consequence?